Strategic Ceasefire or Tactical Deception A Geopolitical Analysis of the Iran, Israel, U.S. Crisis in 2025
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55737/qjss.vi-ii.25354Keywords:
Strategic Ceasefire, Tactical Deception, Hybrid Warfare, U.S. Diplomacy, Middle East Geopolitic, Regional StabilityAbstract
The new ceasefire between Iran and Israel mediated by the American Diplomacy and brokered by Qatari authorities has elicited mixed feelings, amicably welcomed as a pause for both warring parties, and to a large extent, it was met with extreme skepticism by the world strategic community. Though the official versions of the events place the agreement as a de-escalation and step toward regional stability, the contradictory military exercises and secret operations following the act indicate a troubling gap between the talk and the walk in terms of the diplomacy. Critical analysis of the ceasefire discussed in this paper is done by examining it using the concept of hybrid warfare, strategic deception, and the weaponization of peace. Adopting a constructivist and realist theoretical framework, we argue that the ceasefire is more of an in-calculated suspension, rather than a solution, a tactical shift that occurs between the power struggle between Iran, Israel, and the U.S. in the Middle East.
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